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作成日: 2022/02/22 09:17

更新日: 2025/12/09 17:50

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A Japanese expert on foreign relations says growing tensions in eastern Ukraine is highly likely a signal of Russia&#039;s desire to have the United States and its European allies come to the negotiating table.
                
Abiru Taisuke of the Sasakawa Peace Foundation, who is well versed in Russia&#039;s diplomacy and security policy, also says a scenario of a Russian invasion of Ukraine is difficult to imagine.
                
As a reason for his view, Abiru says Russian President Vladimir Putin is expected to hold a meeting with US President Joe Biden, following the one with French President Emmanuel Macron. Abiru says Putin is showing his willingness to continue talks.
                
At the upcoming US-Russia summit, he says the US won&#039;t be able to give a guarantee demanded by Russia that NATO will not further expand.
                
He says the focus of the summit will be on whether the two countries will agree on a diplomatic framework to continue to exchange their views.
                
But he says that even if an agreement is reached, it would be difficult to implement and tensions won&#039;t ease immediately.
                
He also notes Putin could unilaterally recognize two breakaway regions in eastern Ukraine as nations, although such a possibility is not high.
                
He says that in this case, he cannot rule out the possibility that Russia could invade Ukraine before doing so.
                
Abiru says Russia&#039;s actions in the next week or two should be the focus of attention.

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