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Germany would suffer recession if Russian gas cut off NHK

Leading economic institutes in Germany are warning that Europe's biggest economy would experience a deep recession if it stops importing natural gas from Russia.

The joint forecast comes from the Ifo Institute and four other research bodies.

They say Germany's economy would lose a total of 220 billion euros, or roughly 240 billion dollars, by the end of next year in case the gas supplies are shut off.

The loss is equivalent to more than 6.5 percent of Germany's annual gross domestic product.

The vice president of the Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Stefan Kooths, said the shockwaves from the war in Ukraine are weighing on economic activity.

He also said if gas supplies were to be cut off, the German economy would undergo a sharp recession.

German officials have been discussing a possible embargo of Russian gas, as part of tougher sanctions against Moscow.

The institutes also believe that German GDP will grow only by 1.9 percent this year and contract by 2.2 percent in 2023.
Summary
Germany's major economic institutions have issued a joint warning predicting a significant recession if gas imports from Russia cease. The total potential loss to the German economy by end-2023 could reach €220 billion or $240 billion, which is over 6.5% of its annual GDP. If gas supplies are
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ID: 62577f71-d870-4162-b8f3-6392c0a80b98

Category ID: nhk

URL: https://www3.nhk.or.jp/nhkworld/en/news/20220414_13/

Date: April 14, 2022

Created: 2022/04/14 10:57

Updated: 2025/12/09 17:00

Last Read: 2022/04/14 10:57